document research basis for phase plans

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dirtydishes 2026-06-16 13:53:54 -04:00
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This roadmap breaks `docs/plans/smart-flow-architecture-review.md` into implementation-sized phases. The recommended direction is Option B: keep the working stack, but rebuild the domain pipeline around observations, evidence clusters, cautious hypotheses, confidence, alternatives, abstention, replay evaluation, and user-facing insight projections.
## Source Documents
- Architecture plan: [`docs/plans/smart-flow-architecture-review.md`](../../plans/smart-flow-architecture-review.md)
- Research report: [`docs/research-docs/smart-flow-market-mechanics.md`](../../research-docs/smart-flow-market-mechanics.md)
- Research architecture review copy: [`docs/research-docs/smart-flow-architecture-review.md`](../../research-docs/smart-flow-architecture-review.md)
The research documents are background and rationale only. Scope comes from the Beads issue and the phase document.
## Core Constraints
- Do not treat "smart money" as a canonical fact emitted by the system.